481 lines
26 KiB
Markdown
481 lines
26 KiB
Markdown
# Backtesting
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This page explains how to validate your strategy performance by using Backtesting.
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Backtesting requires historic data to be available.
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To learn how to get data for the pairs and exchange you're interested in, head over to the [Data Downloading](data-download.md) section of the documentation.
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## Backtesting command reference
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```
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usage: freqtrade backtesting [-h] [-v] [--logfile FILE] [-V] [-c PATH]
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[-d PATH] [--userdir PATH] [-s NAME]
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[--strategy-path PATH] [-i TIMEFRAME]
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[--timerange TIMERANGE]
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[--data-format-ohlcv {json,jsongz,hdf5}]
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[--max-open-trades INT]
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[--stake-amount STAKE_AMOUNT] [--fee FLOAT]
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[--eps] [--dmmp] [--enable-protections]
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[--dry-run-wallet DRY_RUN_WALLET]
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[--strategy-list STRATEGY_LIST [STRATEGY_LIST ...]]
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[--export EXPORT] [--export-filename PATH]
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optional arguments:
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-h, --help show this help message and exit
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-i TIMEFRAME, --timeframe TIMEFRAME, --ticker-interval TIMEFRAME
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Specify ticker interval (`1m`, `5m`, `30m`, `1h`,
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`1d`).
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--timerange TIMERANGE
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Specify what timerange of data to use.
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--data-format-ohlcv {json,jsongz,hdf5}
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Storage format for downloaded candle (OHLCV) data.
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(default: `None`).
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--max-open-trades INT
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Override the value of the `max_open_trades`
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configuration setting.
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--stake-amount STAKE_AMOUNT
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Override the value of the `stake_amount` configuration
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setting.
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--fee FLOAT Specify fee ratio. Will be applied twice (on trade
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entry and exit).
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--eps, --enable-position-stacking
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Allow buying the same pair multiple times (position
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stacking).
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--dmmp, --disable-max-market-positions
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Disable applying `max_open_trades` during backtest
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(same as setting `max_open_trades` to a very high
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number).
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--enable-protections, --enableprotections
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Enable protections for backtesting.Will slow
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backtesting down by a considerable amount, but will
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include configured protections
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--dry-run-wallet DRY_RUN_WALLET, --starting-balance DRY_RUN_WALLET
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Starting balance, used for backtesting / hyperopt and
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dry-runs.
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--strategy-list STRATEGY_LIST [STRATEGY_LIST ...]
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Provide a space-separated list of strategies to
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backtest. Please note that ticker-interval needs to be
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set either in config or via command line. When using
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this together with `--export trades`, the strategy-
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name is injected into the filename (so `backtest-
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data.json` becomes `backtest-data-
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DefaultStrategy.json`
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--export EXPORT Export backtest results, argument are: trades.
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Example: `--export=trades`
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--export-filename PATH
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Save backtest results to the file with this filename.
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Requires `--export` to be set as well. Example:
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`--export-filename=user_data/backtest_results/backtest
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_today.json`
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Common arguments:
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-v, --verbose Verbose mode (-vv for more, -vvv to get all messages).
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--logfile FILE Log to the file specified. Special values are:
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'syslog', 'journald'. See the documentation for more
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details.
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-V, --version show program's version number and exit
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-c PATH, --config PATH
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Specify configuration file (default:
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`userdir/config.json` or `config.json` whichever
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exists). Multiple --config options may be used. Can be
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set to `-` to read config from stdin.
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-d PATH, --datadir PATH
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Path to directory with historical backtesting data.
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--userdir PATH, --user-data-dir PATH
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Path to userdata directory.
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Strategy arguments:
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-s NAME, --strategy NAME
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Specify strategy class name which will be used by the
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bot.
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--strategy-path PATH Specify additional strategy lookup path.
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```
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## Test your strategy with Backtesting
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Now you have good Buy and Sell strategies and some historic data, you want to test it against
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real data. This is what we call [backtesting](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backtesting).
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Backtesting will use the crypto-currencies (pairs) from your config file and load historical candle (OHCLV) data from `user_data/data/<exchange>` by default.
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If no data is available for the exchange / pair / timeframe combination, backtesting will ask you to download them first using `freqtrade download-data`.
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For details on downloading, please refer to the [Data Downloading](data-download.md) section in the documentation.
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The result of backtesting will confirm if your bot has better odds of making a profit than a loss.
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All profit calculations include fees, and freqtrade will use the exchange's default fees for the calculation.
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!!! Warning "Using dynamic pairlists for backtesting"
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Using dynamic pairlists is possible, however it relies on the current market conditions - which will not reflect the historic status of the pairlist.
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Also, when using pairlists other than StaticPairlist, reproducability of backtesting-results cannot be guaranteed.
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Please read the [pairlists documentation](plugins.md#pairlists) for more information.
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To achieve reproducible results, best generate a pairlist via the [`test-pairlist`](utils.md#test-pairlist) command and use that as static pairlist.
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### Starting balance
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Backtesting will require a starting balance, which can be given as `--dry-run-wallet <balance>` or `--starting-balance <balance>` command line argument, or via `dry_run_wallet` configuration setting.
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This amount must be higher than `stake_amount`, otherwise the bot will not be able to simulate any trade.
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### Dynamic stake amount
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Backtesting supports [dynamic stake amount](configuration.md#dynamic-stake-amount) by configuring `stake_amount` as `"unlimited"`, which will split the starting balance into `max_open_trades` pieces.
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Profits from early trades will result in subsequent higher stake amounts, resulting in compounding of profits over the backtesting period.
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### Example backtesting commands
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With 5 min candle (OHLCV) data (per default)
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --strategy AwesomeStrategy
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```
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Where `--strategy AwesomeStrategy` / `-s AwesomeStrategy` refers to the class name of the strategy, which is within a python file in the `user_data/strategies` directory.
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---
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With 1 min candle (OHLCV) data
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --strategy AwesomeStrategy --timeframe 1m
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```
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---
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Providing a custom starting balance of 1000 (in stake currency)
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --strategy AwesomeStrategy --dry-run-wallet 1000
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```
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---
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Using a different on-disk historical candle (OHLCV) data source
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Assume you downloaded the history data from the Bittrex exchange and kept it in the `user_data/data/bittrex-20180101` directory.
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You can then use this data for backtesting as follows:
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --strategy AwesomeStrategy --datadir user_data/data/bittrex-20180101
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```
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---
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Comparing multiple Strategies
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --strategy-list SampleStrategy1 AwesomeStrategy --timeframe 5m
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```
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Where `SampleStrategy1` and `AwesomeStrategy` refer to class names of strategies.
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---
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Exporting trades to file
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --strategy backtesting --export trades --config config.json
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```
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The exported trades can be used for [further analysis](#further-backtest-result-analysis), or can be used by the plotting script `plot_dataframe.py` in the scripts directory.
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---
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Exporting trades to file specifying a custom filename
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --strategy backtesting --export trades --export-filename=backtest_samplestrategy.json
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```
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Please also read about the [strategy startup period](strategy-customization.md#strategy-startup-period).
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---
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Supplying custom fee value
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Sometimes your account has certain fee rebates (fee reductions starting with a certain account size or monthly volume), which are not visible to ccxt.
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To account for this in backtesting, you can use the `--fee` command line option to supply this value to backtesting.
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This fee must be a ratio, and will be applied twice (once for trade entry, and once for trade exit).
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For example, if the buying and selling commission fee is 0.1% (i.e., 0.001 written as ratio), then you would run backtesting as the following:
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --fee 0.001
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```
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!!! Note
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Only supply this option (or the corresponding configuration parameter) if you want to experiment with different fee values. By default, Backtesting fetches the default fee from the exchange pair/market info.
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---
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Running backtest with smaller test-set by using timerange
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Use the `--timerange` argument to change how much of the test-set you want to use.
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For example, running backtesting with the `--timerange=20190501-` option will use all available data starting with May 1st, 2019 from your input data.
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```bash
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freqtrade backtesting --timerange=20190501-
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```
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You can also specify particular date ranges.
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The full timerange specification:
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- Use data until 2018/01/31: `--timerange=-20180131`
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- Use data since 2018/01/31: `--timerange=20180131-`
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- Use data since 2018/01/31 till 2018/03/01 : `--timerange=20180131-20180301`
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- Use data between POSIX / epoch timestamps 1527595200 1527618600: `--timerange=1527595200-1527618600`
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## Understand the backtesting result
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The most important in the backtesting is to understand the result.
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A backtesting result will look like that:
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```
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========================================================= BACKTESTING REPORT ========================================================
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| Pair | Buys | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Wins | Draws | Losses |
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|:---------|-------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|------:|-------:|--------:|
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| ADA/BTC | 35 | -0.11 | -3.88 | -0.00019428 | -1.94 | 4:35:00 | 14 | 0 | 21 |
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| ARK/BTC | 11 | -0.41 | -4.52 | -0.00022647 | -2.26 | 2:03:00 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
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| BTS/BTC | 32 | 0.31 | 9.78 | 0.00048938 | 4.89 | 5:05:00 | 18 | 0 | 14 |
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| DASH/BTC | 13 | -0.08 | -1.07 | -0.00005343 | -0.53 | 4:39:00 | 6 | 0 | 7 |
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| ENG/BTC | 18 | 1.36 | 24.54 | 0.00122807 | 12.27 | 2:50:00 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
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| EOS/BTC | 36 | 0.08 | 3.06 | 0.00015304 | 1.53 | 3:34:00 | 16 | 0 | 20 |
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| ETC/BTC | 26 | 0.37 | 9.51 | 0.00047576 | 4.75 | 6:14:00 | 11 | 0 | 15 |
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| ETH/BTC | 33 | 0.30 | 9.96 | 0.00049856 | 4.98 | 7:31:00 | 16 | 0 | 17 |
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| IOTA/BTC | 32 | 0.03 | 1.09 | 0.00005444 | 0.54 | 3:12:00 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
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| LSK/BTC | 15 | 1.75 | 26.26 | 0.00131413 | 13.13 | 2:58:00 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
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| LTC/BTC | 32 | -0.04 | -1.38 | -0.00006886 | -0.69 | 4:49:00 | 11 | 0 | 21 |
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| NANO/BTC | 17 | 1.26 | 21.39 | 0.00107058 | 10.70 | 1:55:00 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
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| NEO/BTC | 23 | 0.82 | 18.97 | 0.00094936 | 9.48 | 2:59:00 | 10 | 0 | 13 |
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| REQ/BTC | 9 | 1.17 | 10.54 | 0.00052734 | 5.27 | 3:47:00 | 4 | 0 | 5 |
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| XLM/BTC | 16 | 1.22 | 19.54 | 0.00097800 | 9.77 | 3:15:00 | 7 | 0 | 9 |
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| XMR/BTC | 23 | -0.18 | -4.13 | -0.00020696 | -2.07 | 5:30:00 | 12 | 0 | 11 |
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| XRP/BTC | 35 | 0.66 | 22.96 | 0.00114897 | 11.48 | 3:49:00 | 12 | 0 | 23 |
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| ZEC/BTC | 22 | -0.46 | -10.18 | -0.00050971 | -5.09 | 2:22:00 | 7 | 0 | 15 |
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| TOTAL | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 | 0 | 243 |
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========================================================= SELL REASON STATS =========================================================
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| Sell Reason | Sells | Wins | Draws | Losses |
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|:-------------------|--------:|------:|-------:|--------:|
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| trailing_stop_loss | 205 | 150 | 0 | 55 |
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| stop_loss | 166 | 0 | 0 | 166 |
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| sell_signal | 56 | 36 | 0 | 20 |
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| force_sell | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
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====================================================== LEFT OPEN TRADES REPORT ======================================================
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| Pair | Buys | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Wins | Draws | Losses |
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|:---------|-------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|------:|-------:|--------:|
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| ADA/BTC | 1 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.00004434 | 0.44 | 6:00:00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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| LTC/BTC | 1 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.00003421 | 0.34 | 2:00:00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
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| TOTAL | 2 | 0.78 | 1.57 | 0.00007855 | 0.78 | 4:00:00 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
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=============== SUMMARY METRICS ===============
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| Metric | Value |
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|-----------------------+---------------------|
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| Backtesting from | 2019-01-01 00:00:00 |
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| Backtesting to | 2019-05-01 00:00:00 |
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| Max open trades | 3 |
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| | |
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| Total trades | 429 |
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| Starting balance | 0.01000000 BTC |
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| Final balance | 0.01762792 BTC |
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| Absolute profit | 0.00762792 BTC |
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| Total profit % | 76.2% |
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| Trades per day | 3.575 |
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| Avg. stake amount | 0.001 |
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| Total trade volume | 0.429 BTC |
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| Best Pair | LSK/BTC 26.26% |
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| Worst Pair | ZEC/BTC -10.18% |
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| Best Trade | LSK/BTC 4.25% |
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| Worst Trade | ZEC/BTC -10.25% |
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| Best day | 25.27% |
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| Worst day | -30.67% |
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| Days win/draw/lose | 12 / 82 / 25 |
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| Avg. Duration Winners | 4:23:00 |
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| Avg. Duration Loser | 6:55:00 |
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| Min balance | 0.00945123 BTC |
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| Max balance | 0.01846651 BTC |
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| Drawdown | 50.63% |
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| Drawdown | 0.0015 BTC |
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| Drawdown high | 0.0013 BTC |
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| Drawdown low | -0.0002 BTC |
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| Drawdown Start | 2019-02-15 14:10:00 |
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| Drawdown End | 2019-04-11 18:15:00 |
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| Market change | -5.88% |
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===============================================
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```
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### Backtesting report table
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The 1st table contains all trades the bot made, including "left open trades".
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The last line will give you the overall performance of your strategy,
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here:
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```
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| TOTAL | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 | 243 |
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```
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The bot has made `429` trades for an average duration of `4:12:00`, with a performance of `76.20%` (profit), that means it has
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earned a total of `0.00762792 BTC` starting with a capital of 0.01 BTC.
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The column `Avg Profit %` shows the average profit for all trades made while the column `Cum Profit %` sums up all the profits/losses.
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The column `Tot Profit %` shows instead the total profit % in relation to allocated capital (`max_open_trades * stake_amount`).
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In the above results we have `max_open_trades=2` and `stake_amount=0.005` in config so `Tot Profit %` will be `(76.20/100) * (0.005 * 2) =~ 0.00762792 BTC`.
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Your strategy performance is influenced by your buy strategy, your sell strategy, and also by the `minimal_roi` and `stop_loss` you have set.
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For example, if your `minimal_roi` is only `"0": 0.01` you cannot expect the bot to make more profit than 1% (because it will sell every time a trade reaches 1%).
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```json
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"minimal_roi": {
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"0": 0.01
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},
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```
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On the other hand, if you set a too high `minimal_roi` like `"0": 0.55`
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(55%), there is almost no chance that the bot will ever reach this profit.
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Hence, keep in mind that your performance is an integral mix of all different elements of the strategy, your configuration, and the crypto-currency pairs you have set up.
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### Sell reasons table
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The 2nd table contains a recap of sell reasons.
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This table can tell you which area needs some additional work (e.g. all or many of the `sell_signal` trades are losses, so you should work on improving the sell signal, or consider disabling it).
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### Left open trades table
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The 3rd table contains all trades the bot had to `forcesell` at the end of the backtesting period to present you the full picture.
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This is necessary to simulate realistic behavior, since the backtest period has to end at some point, while realistically, you could leave the bot running forever.
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These trades are also included in the first table, but are also shown separately in this table for clarity.
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### Summary metrics
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The last element of the backtest report is the summary metrics table.
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It contains some useful key metrics about performance of your strategy on backtesting data.
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```
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=============== SUMMARY METRICS ===============
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| Metric | Value |
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|-----------------------+---------------------|
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| Backtesting from | 2019-01-01 00:00:00 |
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| Backtesting to | 2019-05-01 00:00:00 |
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| Max open trades | 3 |
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| | |
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| Total trades | 429 |
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| Starting balance | 0.01000000 BTC |
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| Final balance | 0.01762792 BTC |
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| Absolute profit | 0.00762792 BTC |
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| Total profit % | 76.2% |
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| Trades per day | 3.575 |
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| Avg. stake amount | 0.001 |
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| Total trade volume | 0.429 BTC |
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| | |
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| Best Pair | LSK/BTC 26.26% |
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| Worst Pair | ZEC/BTC -10.18% |
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| Best Trade | LSK/BTC 4.25% |
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| Worst Trade | ZEC/BTC -10.25% |
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| Best day | 25.27% |
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| Worst day | -30.67% |
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| Days win/draw/lose | 12 / 82 / 25 |
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| Avg. Duration Winners | 4:23:00 |
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| Avg. Duration Loser | 6:55:00 |
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| | |
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| Min balance | 0.00945123 BTC |
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| Max balance | 0.01846651 BTC |
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| Drawdown | 50.63% |
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| Drawdown | 0.0015 BTC |
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| Drawdown high | 0.0013 BTC |
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| Drawdown low | -0.0002 BTC |
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| Drawdown Start | 2019-02-15 14:10:00 |
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| Drawdown End | 2019-04-11 18:15:00 |
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| Market change | -5.88% |
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===============================================
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```
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- `Backtesting from` / `Backtesting to`: Backtesting range (usually defined with the `--timerange` option).
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- `Max open trades`: Setting of `max_open_trades` (or `--max-open-trades`) - or number of pairs in the pairlist (whatever is lower).
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- `Total trades`: Identical to the total trades of the backtest output table.
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- `Starting balance`: Start balance - as given by dry-run-wallet (config or command line).
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- `End balance`: Final balance - starting balance + absolute profit.
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- `Absolute profit`: Profit made in stake currency.
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- `Total profit %`: Total profit. Aligned to the `TOTAL` row's `Tot Profit %` from the first table. Calculated as `(End capital − Starting capital) / Starting capital`.
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- `Trades per day`: Total trades divided by the backtesting duration in days (this will give you information about how many trades to expect from the strategy).
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- `Avg. stake amount`: Average stake amount, either `stake_amount` or the average when using dynamic stake amount.
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- `Total trade volume`: Volume generated on the exchange to reach the above profit.
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- `Best Pair` / `Worst Pair`: Best and worst performing pair, and it's corresponding `Cum Profit %`.
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- `Best Trade` / `Worst Trade`: Biggest winning trade and biggest losing trade
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- `Best day` / `Worst day`: Best and worst day based on daily profit.
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- `Days win/draw/lose`: Winning / Losing days (draws are usually days without closed trade).
|
||
- `Avg. Duration Winners` / `Avg. Duration Loser`: Average durations for winning and losing trades.
|
||
- `Min balance` / `Max balance`: Lowest and Highest Wallet balance during the backtest period.
|
||
- `Drawdown`: Maximum drawdown experienced. For example, the value of 50% means that from highest to subsequent lowest point, a 50% drop was experienced).
|
||
- `Drawdown high` / `Drawdown low`: Profit at the beginning and end of the largest drawdown period. A negative low value means initial capital lost.
|
||
- `Drawdown Start` / `Drawdown End`: Start and end datetime for this largest drawdown (can also be visualized via the `plot-dataframe` sub-command).
|
||
- `Market change`: Change of the market during the backtest period. Calculated as average of all pairs changes from the first to the last candle using the "close" column.
|
||
|
||
### Assumptions made by backtesting
|
||
|
||
Since backtesting lacks some detailed information about what happens within a candle, it needs to take a few assumptions:
|
||
|
||
- Buys happen at open-price
|
||
- Sell-signal sells happen at open-price of the consecutive candle
|
||
- Sell-signal is favored over Stoploss, because sell-signals are assumed to trigger on candle's open
|
||
- ROI
|
||
- sells are compared to high - but the ROI value is used (e.g. ROI = 2%, high=5% - so the sell will be at 2%)
|
||
- sells are never "below the candle", so a ROI of 2% may result in a sell at 2.4% if low was at 2.4% profit
|
||
- Forcesells caused by `<N>=-1` ROI entries use low as sell value, unless N falls on the candle open (e.g. `120: -1` for 1h candles)
|
||
- Stoploss sells happen exactly at stoploss price, even if low was lower, but the loss will be `2 * fees` higher than the stoploss price
|
||
- Stoploss is evaluated before ROI within one candle. So you can often see more trades with the `stoploss` sell reason comparing to the results obtained with the same strategy in the Dry Run/Live Trade modes
|
||
- Low happens before high for stoploss, protecting capital first
|
||
- Trailing stoploss
|
||
- High happens first - adjusting stoploss
|
||
- Low uses the adjusted stoploss (so sells with large high-low difference are backtested correctly)
|
||
- ROI applies before trailing-stop, ensuring profits are "top-capped" at ROI if both ROI and trailing stop applies
|
||
- Sell-reason does not explain if a trade was positive or negative, just what triggered the sell (this can look odd if negative ROI values are used)
|
||
- Evaluation sequence (if multiple signals happen on the same candle)
|
||
- ROI (if not stoploss)
|
||
- Sell-signal
|
||
- Stoploss
|
||
|
||
Taking these assumptions, backtesting tries to mirror real trading as closely as possible. However, backtesting will **never** replace running a strategy in dry-run mode.
|
||
Also, keep in mind that past results don't guarantee future success.
|
||
|
||
In addition to the above assumptions, strategy authors should carefully read the [Common Mistakes](strategy-customization.md#common-mistakes-when-developing-strategies) section, to avoid using data in backtesting which is not available in real market conditions.
|
||
|
||
### Further backtest-result analysis
|
||
|
||
To further analyze your backtest results, you can [export the trades](#exporting-trades-to-file).
|
||
You can then load the trades to perform further analysis as shown in our [data analysis](data-analysis.md#backtesting) backtesting section.
|
||
|
||
## Backtesting multiple strategies
|
||
|
||
To compare multiple strategies, a list of Strategies can be provided to backtesting.
|
||
|
||
This is limited to 1 timeframe value per run. However, data is only loaded once from disk so if you have multiple
|
||
strategies you'd like to compare, this will give a nice runtime boost.
|
||
|
||
All listed Strategies need to be in the same directory.
|
||
|
||
``` bash
|
||
freqtrade backtesting --timerange 20180401-20180410 --timeframe 5m --strategy-list Strategy001 Strategy002 --export trades
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
This will save the results to `user_data/backtest_results/backtest-result-<strategy>.json`, injecting the strategy-name into the target filename.
|
||
There will be an additional table comparing win/losses of the different strategies (identical to the "Total" row in the first table).
|
||
Detailed output for all strategies one after the other will be available, so make sure to scroll up to see the details per strategy.
|
||
|
||
```
|
||
=========================================================== STRATEGY SUMMARY ===========================================================
|
||
| Strategy | Buys | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Wins | Draws | Losses |
|
||
|:------------|-------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|------:|-------:|-------:|
|
||
| Strategy1 | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 | 0 | 243 |
|
||
| Strategy2 | 1487 | -0.13 | -197.58 | -0.00988917 | -98.79 | 4:43:00 | 662 | 0 | 825 |
|
||
```
|
||
|
||
## Next step
|
||
|
||
Great, your strategy is profitable. What if the bot can give your the optimal parameters to use for your strategy?
|
||
Your next step is to learn [how to find optimal parameters with Hyperopt](hyperopt.md)
|