12 KiB
Backtesting
This page explains how to validate your strategy performance by using Backtesting.
Backtesting requires historic data to be available. To learn how to get data for the pairs and exchange you're interested in, head over to the Data Downloading section of the documentation.
Test your strategy with Backtesting
Now you have good Buy and Sell strategies and some historic data, you want to test it against real data. This is what we call backtesting.
Backtesting will use the crypto-currencies (pairs) from your config file
and load ticker data from user_data/data/<exchange> by default.
If no data is available for the exchange / pair / ticker interval combination, backtesting will
ask you to download them first using freqtrade download-data.
For details on downloading, please refer to the Data Downloading section in the documentation.
The result of backtesting will confirm if your bot has better odds of making a profit than a loss.
Run a backtesting against the currencies listed in your config file
With 5 min tickers (Per default)
freqtrade backtesting
With 1 min tickers
freqtrade backtesting --ticker-interval 1m
Using a different on-disk ticker-data source
Assume you downloaded the history data from the Bittrex exchange and kept it in the user_data/data/bittrex-20180101 directory.
You can then use this data for backtesting as follows:
freqtrade backtesting --datadir user_data/data/bittrex-20180101
With a (custom) strategy file
freqtrade -s SampleStrategy backtesting
Where -s SampleStrategy refers to the class name within the strategy file sample_strategy.py found in the freqtrade/user_data/strategies directory.
Comparing multiple Strategies
freqtrade backtesting --strategy-list SampleStrategy1 AwesomeStrategy --ticker-interval 5m
Where SampleStrategy1 and AwesomeStrategy refer to class names of strategies.
Exporting trades to file
freqtrade backtesting --export trades
The exported trades can be used for further analysis, or can be used by the plotting script plot_dataframe.py in the scripts directory.
Exporting trades to file specifying a custom filename
freqtrade backtesting --export trades --export-filename=backtest_samplestrategy.json
Running backtest with smaller testset by using timerange
Use the --timerange argument to change how much of the testset you want to use.
For example, running backtesting with the --timerange=20190501- option will use all available data starting with May 1st, 2019 from your inputdata.
freqtrade backtesting --timerange=20190501-
You can also specify particular dates or a range span indexed by start and stop.
The full timerange specification:
- Use tickframes till 2018/01/31:
--timerange=-20180131 - Use tickframes since 2018/01/31:
--timerange=20180131- - Use tickframes since 2018/01/31 till 2018/03/01 :
--timerange=20180131-20180301 - Use tickframes between POSIX timestamps 1527595200 1527618600:
--timerange=1527595200-1527618600 - Use last 123 tickframes of data:
--timerange=-123 - Use first 123 tickframes of data:
--timerange=123- - Use tickframes from line 123 through 456:
--timerange=123-456
!!! warning Be carefull when using non-date functions - these do not allow you to specify precise dates, so if you updated the test-data it will probably use a different dataset.
Understand the backtesting result
The most important in the backtesting is to understand the result.
A backtesting result will look like that:
========================================================= BACKTESTING REPORT ========================================================
| pair | buy count | avg profit % | cum profit % | tot profit BTC | tot profit % | avg duration | profit | loss |
|:---------|------------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|---------:|-------:|
| ADA/BTC | 35 | -0.11 | -3.88 | -0.00019428 | -1.94 | 4:35:00 | 14 | 21 |
| ARK/BTC | 11 | -0.41 | -4.52 | -0.00022647 | -2.26 | 2:03:00 | 3 | 8 |
| BTS/BTC | 32 | 0.31 | 9.78 | 0.00048938 | 4.89 | 5:05:00 | 18 | 14 |
| DASH/BTC | 13 | -0.08 | -1.07 | -0.00005343 | -0.53 | 4:39:00 | 6 | 7 |
| ENG/BTC | 18 | 1.36 | 24.54 | 0.00122807 | 12.27 | 2:50:00 | 8 | 10 |
| EOS/BTC | 36 | 0.08 | 3.06 | 0.00015304 | 1.53 | 3:34:00 | 16 | 20 |
| ETC/BTC | 26 | 0.37 | 9.51 | 0.00047576 | 4.75 | 6:14:00 | 11 | 15 |
| ETH/BTC | 33 | 0.30 | 9.96 | 0.00049856 | 4.98 | 7:31:00 | 16 | 17 |
| IOTA/BTC | 32 | 0.03 | 1.09 | 0.00005444 | 0.54 | 3:12:00 | 14 | 18 |
| LSK/BTC | 15 | 1.75 | 26.26 | 0.00131413 | 13.13 | 2:58:00 | 6 | 9 |
| LTC/BTC | 32 | -0.04 | -1.38 | -0.00006886 | -0.69 | 4:49:00 | 11 | 21 |
| NANO/BTC | 17 | 1.26 | 21.39 | 0.00107058 | 10.70 | 1:55:00 | 10 | 7 |
| NEO/BTC | 23 | 0.82 | 18.97 | 0.00094936 | 9.48 | 2:59:00 | 10 | 13 |
| REQ/BTC | 9 | 1.17 | 10.54 | 0.00052734 | 5.27 | 3:47:00 | 4 | 5 |
| XLM/BTC | 16 | 1.22 | 19.54 | 0.00097800 | 9.77 | 3:15:00 | 7 | 9 |
| XMR/BTC | 23 | -0.18 | -4.13 | -0.00020696 | -2.07 | 5:30:00 | 12 | 11 |
| XRP/BTC | 35 | 0.66 | 22.96 | 0.00114897 | 11.48 | 3:49:00 | 12 | 23 |
| ZEC/BTC | 22 | -0.46 | -10.18 | -0.00050971 | -5.09 | 2:22:00 | 7 | 15 |
| TOTAL | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 | 243 |
========================================================= SELL REASON STATS =========================================================
| Sell Reason | Count |
|:-------------------|--------:|
| trailing_stop_loss | 205 |
| stop_loss | 166 |
| sell_signal | 56 |
| force_sell | 2 |
====================================================== LEFT OPEN TRADES REPORT ======================================================
| pair | buy count | avg profit % | cum profit % | tot profit BTC | tot profit % | avg duration | profit | loss |
|:---------|------------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|---------:|-------:|
| ADA/BTC | 1 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.00004434 | 0.44 | 6:00:00 | 1 | 0 |
| LTC/BTC | 1 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.00003421 | 0.34 | 2:00:00 | 1 | 0 |
| TOTAL | 2 | 0.78 | 1.57 | 0.00007855 | 0.78 | 4:00:00 | 2 | 0 |
The 1st table contains all trades the bot made, including "left open trades".
The 2nd table contains a recap of sell reasons.
The 3rd table contains all trades the bot had to forcesell at the end of the backtest period to present a full picture.
This is necessary to simulate realistic behaviour, since the backtest period has to end at some point, while realistically, you could leave the bot running forever.
These trades are also included in the first table, but are extracted separately for clarity.
The last line will give you the overall performance of your strategy, here:
| TOTAL | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 | 243 |
The bot has made 429 trades for an average duration of 4:12:00, with a performance of 76.20% (profit), that means it has
earned a total of 0.00762792 BTC starting with a capital of 0.01 BTC.
The column avg profit % shows the average profit for all trades made while the column cum profit % sums up all the profits/losses.
The column tot profit % shows instead the total profit % in relation to allocated capital (max_open_trades * stake_amount).
In the above results we have max_open_trades=2 and stake_amount=0.005 in config so tot_profit % will be (76.20/100) * (0.005 * 2) =~ 0.00762792 BTC.
Your strategy performance is influenced by your buy strategy, your sell strategy, and also by the minimal_roi and stop_loss you have set.
For example, if your minimal_roi is only "0": 0.01 you cannot expect the bot to make more profit than 1% (because it will sell every time a trade reaches 1%).
"minimal_roi": {
"0": 0.01
},
On the other hand, if you set a too high minimal_roi like "0": 0.55
(55%), there is almost no chance that the bot will ever reach this profit.
Hence, keep in mind that your performance is an integral mix of all different elements of the strategy, your configuration, and the crypto-currency pairs you have set up.
Assumptions made by backtesting
Since backtesting lacks some detailed information about what happens within a candle, it needs to take a few assumptions:
- Buys happen at open-price
- Low happens before high for stoploss, protecting capital first.
- ROI sells are compared to high - but the ROI value is used (e.g. ROI = 2%, high=5% - so the sell will be at 2%)
- Stoploss sells happen exactly at stoploss price, even if low was lower
- Trailing stoploss
- High happens first - adjusting stoploss
- Low uses the adjusted stoploss (so sells with large high-low difference are backtested correctly)
- Sell-reason does not explain if a trade was positive or negative, just what triggered the sell (this can look odd if negative ROI values are used)
Further backtest-result analysis
To further analyze your backtest results, you can export the trades. You can then load the trades to perform further analysis as shown in our data analysis backtesting section.
Backtesting multiple strategies
To compare multiple strategies, a list of Strategies can be provided to backtesting.
This is limited to 1 ticker-interval per run, however, data is only loaded once from disk so if you have multiple strategies you'd like to compare, this will give a nice runtime boost.
All listed Strategies need to be in the same directory.
freqtrade backtesting --timerange 20180401-20180410 --ticker-interval 5m --strategy-list Strategy001 Strategy002 --export trades
This will save the results to user_data/backtest_results/backtest-result-<strategy>.json, injecting the strategy-name into the target filename.
There will be an additional table comparing win/losses of the different strategies (identical to the "Total" row in the first table).
Detailed output for all strategies one after the other will be available, so make sure to scroll up to see the details per strategy.
=========================================================== Strategy Summary ===========================================================
| Strategy | buy count | avg profit % | cum profit % | tot profit BTC | tot profit % | avg duration | profit | loss |
|:------------|------------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|---------:|-------:|
| Strategy1 | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 | 243 |
| Strategy2 | 1487 | -0.13 | -197.58 | -0.00988917 | -98.79 | 4:43:00 | 662 | 825 |
Next step
Great, your strategy is profitable. What if the bot can give your the optimal parameters to use for your strategy? Your next step is to learn how to find optimal parameters with Hyperopt