From 662ec1cd60ac8c83dbcbc49f2d659539b702bf10 Mon Sep 17 00:00:00 2001 From: jpribyl Date: Wed, 22 Apr 2020 18:45:33 -0600 Subject: [PATCH] Update wording in expectancy docs and add example --- docs/edge.md | 2 +- 1 file changed, 1 insertion(+), 1 deletion(-) diff --git a/docs/edge.md b/docs/edge.md index 721f570c7..029844c0b 100644 --- a/docs/edge.md +++ b/docs/edge.md @@ -79,7 +79,7 @@ So lets say your Win rate is 28% and your Risk Reward Ratio is 5: Expectancy = (5 X 0.28) – 0.72 = 0.68 ``` -Superficially, this means that on average you expect this strategy’s trades to return .68 times the size of your loses. This is important for two reasons: First, it may seem obvious, but you know right away that you have a positive return. Second, you now have a number you can compare to other candidate systems to make decisions about which ones you employ. +Superficially, this means that on average you expect this strategy’s trades to return 1.68 times the size of your loses. Said another way, you can expect to win $1.68 for every $1 you lose. This is important for two reasons: First, it may seem obvious, but you know right away that you have a positive return. Second, you now have a number you can compare to other candidate systems to make decisions about which ones you employ. It is important to remember that any system with an expectancy greater than 0 is profitable using past data. The key is finding one that will be profitable in the future.