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Timothy Pogue
2022-09-10 15:14:10 -06:00
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74
docs/backtesting.md
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@@ -107,7 +107,7 @@ Strategy arguments:
## Test your strategy with Backtesting
Now you have good Buy and Sell strategies and some historic data, you want to test it against
Now you have good Entry and exit strategies and some historic data, you want to test it against
real data. This is what we call [backtesting](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Backtesting).
Backtesting will use the crypto-currencies (pairs) from your config file and load historical candle (OHLCV) data from `user_data/data/<exchange>` by default.
@@ -215,7 +215,7 @@ Sometimes your account has certain fee rebates (fee reductions starting with a c
To account for this in backtesting, you can use the `--fee` command line option to supply this value to backtesting.
This fee must be a ratio, and will be applied twice (once for trade entry, and once for trade exit).
For example, if the buying and selling commission fee is 0.1% (i.e., 0.001 written as ratio), then you would run backtesting as the following:
For example, if the commission fee per order is 0.1% (i.e., 0.001 written as ratio), then you would run backtesting as the following:
```bash
freqtrade backtesting --fee 0.001
@@ -252,41 +252,41 @@ The most important in the backtesting is to understand the result.
A backtesting result will look like that:
```
========================================================= BACKTESTING REPORT ==========================================================
| Pair | Buys | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Wins Draws Loss Win% |
|:---------|-------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:-------------|-------------------------:|
| ADA/BTC | 35 | -0.11 | -3.88 | -0.00019428 | -1.94 | 4:35:00 | 14 0 21 40.0 |
| ARK/BTC | 11 | -0.41 | -4.52 | -0.00022647 | -2.26 | 2:03:00 | 3 0 8 27.3 |
| BTS/BTC | 32 | 0.31 | 9.78 | 0.00048938 | 4.89 | 5:05:00 | 18 0 14 56.2 |
| DASH/BTC | 13 | -0.08 | -1.07 | -0.00005343 | -0.53 | 4:39:00 | 6 0 7 46.2 |
| ENG/BTC | 18 | 1.36 | 24.54 | 0.00122807 | 12.27 | 2:50:00 | 8 0 10 44.4 |
| EOS/BTC | 36 | 0.08 | 3.06 | 0.00015304 | 1.53 | 3:34:00 | 16 0 20 44.4 |
| ETC/BTC | 26 | 0.37 | 9.51 | 0.00047576 | 4.75 | 6:14:00 | 11 0 15 42.3 |
| ETH/BTC | 33 | 0.30 | 9.96 | 0.00049856 | 4.98 | 7:31:00 | 16 0 17 48.5 |
| IOTA/BTC | 32 | 0.03 | 1.09 | 0.00005444 | 0.54 | 3:12:00 | 14 0 18 43.8 |
| LSK/BTC | 15 | 1.75 | 26.26 | 0.00131413 | 13.13 | 2:58:00 | 6 0 9 40.0 |
| LTC/BTC | 32 | -0.04 | -1.38 | -0.00006886 | -0.69 | 4:49:00 | 11 0 21 34.4 |
| NANO/BTC | 17 | 1.26 | 21.39 | 0.00107058 | 10.70 | 1:55:00 | 10 0 7 58.5 |
| NEO/BTC | 23 | 0.82 | 18.97 | 0.00094936 | 9.48 | 2:59:00 | 10 0 13 43.5 |
| REQ/BTC | 9 | 1.17 | 10.54 | 0.00052734 | 5.27 | 3:47:00 | 4 0 5 44.4 |
| XLM/BTC | 16 | 1.22 | 19.54 | 0.00097800 | 9.77 | 3:15:00 | 7 0 9 43.8 |
| XMR/BTC | 23 | -0.18 | -4.13 | -0.00020696 | -2.07 | 5:30:00 | 12 0 11 52.2 |
| XRP/BTC | 35 | 0.66 | 22.96 | 0.00114897 | 11.48 | 3:49:00 | 12 0 23 34.3 |
| ZEC/BTC | 22 | -0.46 | -10.18 | -0.00050971 | -5.09 | 2:22:00 | 7 0 15 31.8 |
| TOTAL | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 0 243 43.4 |
========================================================= BACKTESTING REPORT =========================================================
| Pair | Entries | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Wins Draws Loss Win% |
|:---------|--------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:-------------|-------------------------:|
| ADA/BTC | 35 | -0.11 | -3.88 | -0.00019428 | -1.94 | 4:35:00 | 14 0 21 40.0 |
| ARK/BTC | 11 | -0.41 | -4.52 | -0.00022647 | -2.26 | 2:03:00 | 3 0 8 27.3 |
| BTS/BTC | 32 | 0.31 | 9.78 | 0.00048938 | 4.89 | 5:05:00 | 18 0 14 56.2 |
| DASH/BTC | 13 | -0.08 | -1.07 | -0.00005343 | -0.53 | 4:39:00 | 6 0 7 46.2 |
| ENG/BTC | 18 | 1.36 | 24.54 | 0.00122807 | 12.27 | 2:50:00 | 8 0 10 44.4 |
| EOS/BTC | 36 | 0.08 | 3.06 | 0.00015304 | 1.53 | 3:34:00 | 16 0 20 44.4 |
| ETC/BTC | 26 | 0.37 | 9.51 | 0.00047576 | 4.75 | 6:14:00 | 11 0 15 42.3 |
| ETH/BTC | 33 | 0.30 | 9.96 | 0.00049856 | 4.98 | 7:31:00 | 16 0 17 48.5 |
| IOTA/BTC | 32 | 0.03 | 1.09 | 0.00005444 | 0.54 | 3:12:00 | 14 0 18 43.8 |
| LSK/BTC | 15 | 1.75 | 26.26 | 0.00131413 | 13.13 | 2:58:00 | 6 0 9 40.0 |
| LTC/BTC | 32 | -0.04 | -1.38 | -0.00006886 | -0.69 | 4:49:00 | 11 0 21 34.4 |
| NANO/BTC | 17 | 1.26 | 21.39 | 0.00107058 | 10.70 | 1:55:00 | 10 0 7 58.5 |
| NEO/BTC | 23 | 0.82 | 18.97 | 0.00094936 | 9.48 | 2:59:00 | 10 0 13 43.5 |
| REQ/BTC | 9 | 1.17 | 10.54 | 0.00052734 | 5.27 | 3:47:00 | 4 0 5 44.4 |
| XLM/BTC | 16 | 1.22 | 19.54 | 0.00097800 | 9.77 | 3:15:00 | 7 0 9 43.8 |
| XMR/BTC | 23 | -0.18 | -4.13 | -0.00020696 | -2.07 | 5:30:00 | 12 0 11 52.2 |
| XRP/BTC | 35 | 0.66 | 22.96 | 0.00114897 | 11.48 | 3:49:00 | 12 0 23 34.3 |
| ZEC/BTC | 22 | -0.46 | -10.18 | -0.00050971 | -5.09 | 2:22:00 | 7 0 15 31.8 |
| TOTAL | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 0 243 43.4 |
========================================================= EXIT REASON STATS ==========================================================
| Exit Reason | Sells | Wins | Draws | Losses |
| Exit Reason | Exits | Wins | Draws | Losses |
|:-------------------|--------:|------:|-------:|--------:|
| trailing_stop_loss | 205 | 150 | 0 | 55 |
| stop_loss | 166 | 0 | 0 | 166 |
| exit_signal | 56 | 36 | 0 | 20 |
| force_exit | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
====================================================== LEFT OPEN TRADES REPORT ======================================================
| Pair | Buys | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Win Draw Loss Win% |
|:---------|-------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|--------------------:|
| ADA/BTC | 1 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.00004434 | 0.44 | 6:00:00 | 1 0 0 100 |
| LTC/BTC | 1 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.00003421 | 0.34 | 2:00:00 | 1 0 0 100 |
| TOTAL | 2 | 0.78 | 1.57 | 0.00007855 | 0.78 | 4:00:00 | 2 0 0 100 |
| Pair | Entries | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Win Draw Loss Win% |
|:---------|---------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|--------------------:|
| ADA/BTC | 1 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.00004434 | 0.44 | 6:00:00 | 1 0 0 100 |
| LTC/BTC | 1 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.00003421 | 0.34 | 2:00:00 | 1 0 0 100 |
| TOTAL | 2 | 0.78 | 1.57 | 0.00007855 | 0.78 | 4:00:00 | 2 0 0 100 |
================== SUMMARY METRICS ==================
| Metric | Value |
|-----------------------------+---------------------|
@@ -356,7 +356,7 @@ The column `Avg Profit %` shows the average profit for all trades made while the
The column `Tot Profit %` shows instead the total profit % in relation to the starting balance.
In the above results, we have a starting balance of 0.01 BTC and an absolute profit of 0.00762792 BTC - so the `Tot Profit %` will be `(0.00762792 / 0.01) * 100 ~= 76.2%`.
Your strategy performance is influenced by your buy strategy, your exit strategy, and also by the `minimal_roi` and `stop_loss` you have set.
Your strategy performance is influenced by your entry strategy, your exit strategy, and also by the `minimal_roi` and `stop_loss` you have set.
For example, if your `minimal_roi` is only `"0": 0.01` you cannot expect the bot to make more profit than 1% (because it will exit every time a trade reaches 1%).
@@ -515,7 +515,7 @@ You can then load the trades to perform further analysis as shown in the [data a
Since backtesting lacks some detailed information about what happens within a candle, it needs to take a few assumptions:
- Exchange [trading limits](#trading-limits-in-backtesting) are respected
- Buys happen at open-price
- Entries happen at open-price
- All orders are filled at the requested price (no slippage, no unfilled orders)
- Exit-signal exits happen at open-price of the consecutive candle
- Exit-signal is favored over Stoploss, because exit-signals are assumed to trigger on candle's open
@@ -612,11 +612,11 @@ There will be an additional table comparing win/losses of the different strategi
Detailed output for all strategies one after the other will be available, so make sure to scroll up to see the details per strategy.
```
=========================================================== STRATEGY SUMMARY =========================================================================
| Strategy | Buys | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Wins | Draws | Losses | Drawdown % |
|:------------|-------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|------:|-------:|-------:|-----------:|
| Strategy1 | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 | 0 | 243 | 45.2 |
| Strategy2 | 1487 | -0.13 | -197.58 | -0.00988917 | -98.79 | 4:43:00 | 662 | 0 | 825 | 241.68 |
=========================================================== STRATEGY SUMMARY ===========================================================================
| Strategy | Entries | Avg Profit % | Cum Profit % | Tot Profit BTC | Tot Profit % | Avg Duration | Wins | Draws | Losses | Drawdown % |
|:------------|---------:|---------------:|---------------:|-----------------:|---------------:|:---------------|------:|-------:|-------:|-----------:|
| Strategy1 | 429 | 0.36 | 152.41 | 0.00762792 | 76.20 | 4:12:00 | 186 | 0 | 243 | 45.2 |
| Strategy2 | 1487 | -0.13 | -197.58 | -0.00988917 | -98.79 | 4:43:00 | 662 | 0 | 825 | 241.68 |
```
## Next step

28
docs/freqai.md
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@@ -98,6 +98,7 @@ Mandatory parameters are marked as **Required**, which means that they are requi
| `expiration_hours` | Avoid making predictions if a model is more than `expiration_hours` old. <br> Defaults set to 0, which means models never expire. <br> **Datatype:** Positive integer.
| `fit_live_predictions_candles` | Number of historical candles to use for computing target (label) statistics from prediction data, instead of from the training data set. <br> **Datatype:** Positive integer.
| `follow_mode` | If true, this instance of FreqAI will look for models associated with `identifier` and load those for inferencing. A `follower` will **not** train new models. <br> **Datatype:** Boolean. Default: `False`.
| `continual_learning` | If true, FreqAI will start training new models from the final state of the most recently trained model. <br> **Datatype:** Boolean. Default: `False`.
| | **Feature parameters**
| `feature_parameters` | A dictionary containing the parameters used to engineer the feature set. Details and examples are shown [here](#feature-engineering). <br> **Datatype:** Dictionary.
| `include_timeframes` | A list of timeframes that all indicators in `populate_any_indicators` will be created for. The list is added as features to the base asset feature set. <br> **Datatype:** List of timeframes (strings).
@@ -281,6 +282,8 @@ The FreqAI strategy requires the user to include the following lines of code in
Notice how the `populate_any_indicators()` is where the user adds their own features ([more information](#feature-engineering)) and labels ([more information](#setting-classifier-targets)). See a full example at `templates/FreqaiExampleStrategy.py`.
*Important*: The `self.freqai.start()` function cannot be called outside the `populate_indicators()`.
### Setting the `startup_candle_count`
Users need to take care to set the `startup_candle_count` in their strategy the same way they would for any normal Freqtrade strategy (see details [here](strategy-customization.md#strategy-startup-period)). This value is used by Freqtrade to ensure that a sufficient amount of data is provided when calling on the `dataprovider` to avoid any NaNs at the beginning of the first training. Users can easily set this value by identifying the longest period (in candle units) that they pass to their indicator creation functions (e.g. talib functions). In the present example, the user would pass 20 to as this value (since it is the maximum value in their `indicators_periods_candles`).
@@ -534,6 +537,31 @@ for each pair, for each backtesting window within the expanded `--timerange`.
---
### Hyperopt
Users can hyperopt using the same command as typical [hyperopt](hyperopt.md):
```bash
freqtrade hyperopt --hyperopt-loss SharpeHyperOptLoss --strategy FreqaiExampleStrategy --freqaimodel LightGBMRegressor --strategy-path freqtrade/templates --config config_examples/config_freqai.example.json --timerange 20220428-20220507
```
Users need to have the data pre-downloaded in the same fashion as if they were doing a FreqAI [backtest](#backtesting). In addition, users must consider some restrictions when trying to [Hyperopt](hyperopt.md) FreqAI strategies:
- The `--analyze-per-epoch` hyperopt parameter is not compatible with FreqAI.
- It's not possible to hyperopt indicators in `populate_any_indicators()` function. This means that the user cannot optimize model parameters using hyperopt. Apart from this exception, it is possible to optimize all other [spaces](hyperopt.md#running-hyperopt-with-smaller-search-space).
- The [Backtesting](#backtesting) instructions also apply to Hyperopt.
The best method for combining hyperopt and FreqAI is to focus on hyperopting entry/exit thresholds/criteria. Users need to focus on hyperopting parameters that are not used in their FreqAI features. For example, users should not try to hyperopt rolling window lengths in their feature creation, or any of their FreqAI config which changes predictions. In order to efficiently hyperopt the FreqAI strategy, FreqAI stores predictions as dataframes and reuses them. Hence the requirement to hyperopt entry/exit thresholds/criteria only.
A good example of a hyperoptable parameter in FreqAI is a value for `DI_values` beyond which we consider outliers and below which we consider inliers:
```python
di_max = IntParameter(low=1, high=20, default=10, space='buy', optimize=True, load=True)
dataframe['outlier'] = np.where(dataframe['DI_values'] > self.di_max.value/10, 1, 0)
```
Which would help the user understand the appropriate Dissimilarity Index values for their particular parameter space.
### Deciding the size of the sliding training window and backtesting duration
The user defines the backtesting timerange with the typical `--timerange` parameter in the