stable/freqtrade/edge/__init__.py

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# pragma pylint: disable=W0603
""" Edge positioning package """
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import logging
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from typing import Any, Dict
from collections import namedtuple
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import arrow
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import numpy as np
import utils_find_1st as utf1st
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from pandas import DataFrame
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import freqtrade.optimize as optimize
from freqtrade.arguments import Arguments
from freqtrade.arguments import TimeRange
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from freqtrade.strategy.interface import SellType
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logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
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class Edge():
"""
Calculates Win Rate, Risk Reward Ratio, Expectancy
against historical data for a give set of markets and a strategy
it then adjusts stoploss and position size accordingly
and force it into the strategy
Author: https://github.com/mishaker
"""
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config: Dict = {}
_cached_pairs: Dict[str, Any] = {} # Keeps a list of pairs
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# pair info data type
_pair_info = namedtuple(
'pair_info',
['stoploss', 'winrate', 'risk_reward_ratio', 'required_risk_reward', 'expectancy'])
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def __init__(self, config: Dict[str, Any], exchange, strategy) -> None:
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self.config = config
self.exchange = exchange
self.strategy = strategy
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self.ticker_interval = self.strategy.ticker_interval
self.tickerdata_to_dataframe = self.strategy.tickerdata_to_dataframe
self.get_timeframe = optimize.get_timeframe
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self.advise_sell = self.strategy.advise_sell
self.advise_buy = self.strategy.advise_buy
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self.edge_config = self.config.get('edge', {})
self._cached_pairs: Dict[str, Any] = {} # Keeps a list of pairs
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self._total_capital: float = self.config['stake_amount']
self._allowed_risk: float = self.edge_config.get('allowed_risk')
self._since_number_of_days: int = self.edge_config.get('calculate_since_number_of_days', 14)
self._last_updated: int = 0 # Timestamp of pairs last updated time
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self._refresh_pairs = True
self._stoploss_range_min = float(self.edge_config.get('stoploss_range_min', -0.01))
self._stoploss_range_max = float(self.edge_config.get('stoploss_range_max', -0.05))
self._stoploss_range_step = float(self.edge_config.get('stoploss_range_step', -0.001))
# calculating stoploss range
self._stoploss_range = np.arange(
self._stoploss_range_min,
self._stoploss_range_max,
self._stoploss_range_step
)
self._timerange: TimeRange = Arguments.parse_timerange("%s-" % arrow.now().shift(
days=-1 * self._since_number_of_days).format('YYYYMMDD'))
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self.fee = self.exchange.get_fee()
def calculate(self) -> bool:
pairs = self.config['exchange']['pair_whitelist']
heartbeat = self.edge_config.get('process_throttle_secs')
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if (self._last_updated > 0) and (
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self._last_updated + heartbeat > arrow.utcnow().timestamp):
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return False
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data: Dict[str, Any] = {}
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logger.info('Using stake_currency: %s ...', self.config['stake_currency'])
logger.info('Using local backtesting data (using whitelist in given config) ...')
data = optimize.load_data(
self.config['datadir'],
pairs=pairs,
ticker_interval=self.ticker_interval,
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refresh_pairs=self._refresh_pairs,
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exchange=self.exchange,
timerange=self._timerange
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)
if not data:
# Reinitializing cached pairs
self._cached_pairs = {}
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logger.critical("No data found. Edge is stopped ...")
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return False
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preprocessed = self.tickerdata_to_dataframe(data)
# Print timeframe
min_date, max_date = self.get_timeframe(preprocessed)
logger.info(
'Measuring data from %s up to %s (%s days) ...',
min_date.isoformat(),
max_date.isoformat(),
(max_date - min_date).days
)
headers = ['date', 'buy', 'open', 'close', 'sell', 'high', 'low']
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trades: list = []
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for pair, pair_data in preprocessed.items():
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# Sorting dataframe by date and reset index
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pair_data = pair_data.sort_values(by=['date'])
pair_data = pair_data.reset_index(drop=True)
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ticker_data = self.advise_sell(
self.advise_buy(pair_data, {'pair': pair}), {'pair': pair})[headers].copy()
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trades += self._find_trades_for_stoploss_range(ticker_data, pair, self._stoploss_range)
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# If no trade found then exit
if len(trades) == 0:
return False
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# Fill missing, calculable columns, profit, duration , abs etc.
trades_df = self._fill_calculable_fields(DataFrame(trades))
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self._cached_pairs = self._process_expectancy(trades_df)
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self._last_updated = arrow.utcnow().timestamp
# Not a nice hack but probably simplest solution:
# When backtest load data it loads the delta between disk and exchange
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# The problem is that exchange consider that recent.
# it is but it is incomplete (c.f. _async_get_candle_history)
# So it causes get_signal to exit cause incomplete ticker_hist
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# A patch to that would be update _pairs_last_refresh_time of exchange
# so it will download again all pairs
# Another solution is to add new data to klines instead of reassigning it:
# self.klines[pair].update(data) instead of self.klines[pair] = data in exchange package.
# But that means indexing timestamp and having a verification so that
# there is no empty range between two timestaps (recently added and last
# one)
self.exchange._pairs_last_refresh_time = {}
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return True
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def stake_amount(self, pair: str) -> float:
stoploss = self._cached_pairs[pair].stoploss
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allowed_capital_at_risk = round(self._total_capital * self._allowed_risk, 5)
position_size = abs(round((allowed_capital_at_risk / stoploss), 5))
return position_size
def stoploss(self, pair: str) -> float:
return self._cached_pairs[pair].stoploss
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def adjust(self, pairs) -> list:
"""
Filters out and sorts "pairs" according to Edge calculated pairs
"""
final = []
for pair, info in self._cached_pairs.items():
if info.expectancy > float(self.edge_config.get('minimum_expectancy', 0.2)) and \
info.winrate > float(self.edge_config.get('minimum_winrate', 0.60)) and \
pair in pairs:
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final.append(pair)
if final:
logger.info('Edge validated only %s', final)
else:
logger.info('Edge removed all pairs as no pair with minimum expectancy was found !')
return final
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def _fill_calculable_fields(self, result: DataFrame) -> DataFrame:
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"""
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The result frame contains a number of columns that are calculable
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from other columns. These are left blank till all rows are added,
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to be populated in single vector calls.
Columns to be populated are:
- Profit
- trade duration
- profit abs
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:param result Dataframe
:return: result Dataframe
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"""
# stake and fees
# stake = 0.015
# 0.05% is 0.0005
# fee = 0.001
stake = self.config.get('stake_amount')
fee = self.fee
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open_fee = fee / 2
close_fee = fee / 2
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result['trade_duration'] = result['close_time'] - result['open_time']
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result['trade_duration'] = result['trade_duration'].map(
lambda x: int(x.total_seconds() / 60))
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# Spends, Takes, Profit, Absolute Profit
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# Buy Price
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result['buy_vol'] = stake / result['open_rate'] # How many target are we buying
result['buy_fee'] = stake * open_fee
result['buy_spend'] = stake + result['buy_fee'] # How much we're spending
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# Sell price
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result['sell_sum'] = result['buy_vol'] * result['close_rate']
result['sell_fee'] = result['sell_sum'] * close_fee
result['sell_take'] = result['sell_sum'] - result['sell_fee']
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# profit_percent
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result['profit_percent'] = (result['sell_take'] - result['buy_spend']) / result['buy_spend']
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# Absolute profit
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result['profit_abs'] = result['sell_take'] - result['buy_spend']
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return result
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def _process_expectancy(self, results: DataFrame) -> Dict[str, Any]:
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"""
This calculates WinRate, Required Risk Reward, Risk Reward and Expectancy of all pairs
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The calulation will be done per pair and per strategy.
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"""
# Removing pairs having less than min_trades_number
min_trades_number = self.edge_config.get('min_trade_number', 10)
results = results.groupby(['pair', 'stoploss']).filter(lambda x: len(x) > min_trades_number)
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###################################
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# Removing outliers (Only Pumps) from the dataset
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# The method to detect outliers is to calculate standard deviation
# Then every value more than (standard deviation + 2*average) is out (pump)
#
# Removing Pumps
if self.edge_config.get('remove_pumps', False):
results = results.groupby(['pair', 'stoploss']).apply(
lambda x: x[x['profit_abs'] < 2 * x['profit_abs'].std() + x['profit_abs'].mean()])
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##########################################################################
# Removing trades having a duration more than X minutes (set in config)
max_trade_duration = self.edge_config.get('max_trade_duration_minute', 1440)
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results = results[results.trade_duration < max_trade_duration]
#######################################################################
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if results.empty:
return {}
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groupby_aggregator = {
'profit_abs': [
('nb_trades', 'count'), # number of all trades
('profit_sum', lambda x: x[x > 0].sum()), # cumulative profit of all winning trades
('loss_sum', lambda x: abs(x[x < 0].sum())), # cumulative loss of all losing trades
('nb_win_trades', lambda x: x[x > 0].count()) # number of winning trades
],
'trade_duration': [('avg_trade_duration', 'mean')]
}
# Group by (pair and stoploss) by applying above aggregator
df = results.groupby(['pair', 'stoploss'])['profit_abs', 'trade_duration'].agg(
groupby_aggregator).reset_index(col_level=1)
# Dropping level 0 as we don't need it
df.columns = df.columns.droplevel(0)
# Calculating number of losing trades, average win and average loss
df['nb_loss_trades'] = df['nb_trades'] - df['nb_win_trades']
df['average_win'] = df['profit_sum'] / df['nb_win_trades']
df['average_loss'] = df['loss_sum'] / df['nb_loss_trades']
# Win rate = number of profitable trades / number of trades
df['winrate'] = df['nb_win_trades'] / df['nb_trades']
# risk_reward_ratio = average win / average loss
df['risk_reward_ratio'] = df['average_win'] / df['average_loss']
# required_risk_reward = (1 / winrate) - 1
df['required_risk_reward'] = (1 / df['winrate']) - 1
# expectancy = (risk_reward_ratio * winrate) - (lossrate)
df['expectancy'] = (df['risk_reward_ratio'] * df['winrate']) - (1 - df['winrate'])
# sort by expectancy and stoploss
df = df.sort_values(by=['expectancy', 'stoploss'], ascending=False).groupby(
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'pair').first().sort_values(by=['expectancy'], ascending=False).reset_index()
final = {}
for x in df.itertuples():
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info = {
'stoploss': x.stoploss,
'winrate': x.winrate,
'risk_reward_ratio': x.risk_reward_ratio,
'required_risk_reward': x.required_risk_reward,
'expectancy': x.expectancy
}
final[x.pair] = self._pair_info(**info)
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# Returning a list of pairs in order of "expectancy"
return final
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def _find_trades_for_stoploss_range(self, ticker_data, pair, stoploss_range):
buy_column = ticker_data['buy'].values
sell_column = ticker_data['sell'].values
date_column = ticker_data['date'].values
ohlc_columns = ticker_data[['open', 'high', 'low', 'close']].values
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result: list = []
for stoploss in stoploss_range:
result += self._detect_next_stop_or_sell_point(
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buy_column, sell_column, date_column, ohlc_columns, round(stoploss, 6), pair
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)
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return result
def _detect_next_stop_or_sell_point(self, buy_column, sell_column, date_column,
ohlc_columns, stoploss, pair, start_point=0):
"""
Iterate through ohlc_columns recursively in order to find the next trade
Next trade opens from the first buy signal noticed to
The sell or stoploss signal after it.
It then calls itself cutting OHLC, buy_column, sell_colum and date_column
Cut from (the exit trade index) + 1
Author: https://github.com/mishaker
"""
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result: list = []
open_trade_index = utf1st.find_1st(buy_column, 1, utf1st.cmp_equal)
# return empty if we don't find trade entry (i.e. buy==1) or
# we find a buy but at the of array
if open_trade_index == -1 or open_trade_index == len(buy_column) - 1:
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return []
else:
open_trade_index += 1 # when a buy signal is seen,
# trade opens in reality on the next candle
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stop_price_percentage = stoploss + 1
open_price = ohlc_columns[open_trade_index, 0]
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stop_price = (open_price * stop_price_percentage)
# Searching for the index where stoploss is hit
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stop_index = utf1st.find_1st(
ohlc_columns[open_trade_index:, 2], stop_price, utf1st.cmp_smaller)
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# If we don't find it then we assume stop_index will be far in future (infinite number)
if stop_index == -1:
stop_index = float('inf')
# Searching for the index where sell is hit
sell_index = utf1st.find_1st(sell_column[open_trade_index:], 1, utf1st.cmp_equal)
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# If we don't find it then we assume sell_index will be far in future (infinite number)
if sell_index == -1:
sell_index = float('inf')
# Check if we don't find any stop or sell point (in that case trade remains open)
# It is not interesting for Edge to consider it so we simply ignore the trade
# And stop iterating there is no more entry
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if stop_index == sell_index == float('inf'):
return []
if stop_index <= sell_index:
exit_index = open_trade_index + stop_index
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exit_type = SellType.STOP_LOSS
exit_price = stop_price
elif stop_index > sell_index:
# if exit is SELL then we exit at the next candle
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exit_index = open_trade_index + sell_index + 1
# check if we have the next candle
if len(ohlc_columns) - 1 < exit_index:
return []
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exit_type = SellType.SELL_SIGNAL
exit_price = ohlc_columns[exit_index, 0]
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trade = {'pair': pair,
'stoploss': stoploss,
'profit_percent': '',
'profit_abs': '',
'open_time': date_column[open_trade_index],
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'close_time': date_column[exit_index],
'open_index': start_point + open_trade_index,
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'close_index': start_point + exit_index,
'trade_duration': '',
'open_rate': round(open_price, 15),
'close_rate': round(exit_price, 15),
'exit_type': exit_type
}
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result.append(trade)
# Calling again the same function recursively but giving
# it a view of exit_index till the end of array
return result + self._detect_next_stop_or_sell_point(
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buy_column[exit_index:],
sell_column[exit_index:],
date_column[exit_index:],
ohlc_columns[exit_index:],
stoploss,
pair,
(start_point + exit_index)
)